During the project’s lifetime information on SURE-Fam will be shared here. The following public deliverables are foreseen in the project:
D1.1 Report on resilience framework for EU agriculture
Farming systems in Europe face a vast range of environmental, economic, social and institutional challenges. Examples include more volatile producer and input prices, higher probability of extreme weather events, increasing dependence on land owners and financial institutions, organizational change within value chains, competing policy objectives and increasing administrative demands, and new societal concerns and changing consumer preferences.
In this paper we define resilience as maintaining the essential functions of EU farming systems in the face of increasingly complex and volatile economic, social, environmental and institutional challenges. A farming system is a system hierarchy level above the farm at which properties emerge as a result of the formal and informal interactions and interrelations among farms, available technologies, stakeholders along the value chain, citizens in rural and urban areas, consumers, policy makers, and the environment. Existing resilience frameworks do not sufficiently capture the regional interplay of the multiple processes and stakeholders apparent in farming systems.
In order to capture the described developments in EU agriculture, and in order to proactively address those challenges, we propose a framework to analyse the resilience of EU farming systems. The integrated framework can be applied by public and private decision makers to formulate differentiated strategies across EU farming systems depending on context-specific challenges and available resources.
D1.2 Report on scenarios for EU farming
When developing strategies or policies to increase resilience, private and public decision makers need to anticipate to future shocks and stresses affecting the systems they manage. However, they face the difficulty that the future is not fully known. Uncertainty exists with respect to key factors affecting the actions of interest. Scenarios are a useful tool to cope with such future uncertainties and can be used both as a way to explore—not predict—the future through the identification of potential opportunities and threats and as a way to make action more future-proof.
The objective of this deliverable is to develop medium- to long-term explorative scenarios describing possible futures for the external environment that EU farming systems face. The external environment will include environmental issues, economic issues and social issues. Consumer trends are typically not or insufficiently included in farming systems related scenarios and will therefore get particular attention. The purpose is to produce scenarios that encompass a wide range of issues characterised in both a quantitative and a qualitative way that can be used to guide further work in SURE-Farm.
D1.3 Report on farm typology and farming systems selection
D1.4 Press release on resilience framework for EU agriculture
D1.5 Policy brief on resilience framework, scenarios and farm typology
D2.1 Report on farmers’ perceptions of risk, adaptive capacity and resilience
D2.2 Report on biographical narratives exploring short- and long-term adaptive behavior of EU farmers
D2.3 Report on farmers’ collective learning and self-organization
D2.4 Open-access paper on the use of remote sensing-based approaches for crop and livestock production
D2.5 Policy brief on farmer adaptive behavior and risk management in EU agriculture
D2.6 Report on state and outlook for risk management in EU agriculture
D2.7 Business brief on opportunities for improved risk management for EU agriculture
D2.8 Open-access paper on the drivers of expenditure on the Risk Management Toolkit per member state.
D3.1 Report on current farm demographics and trends for selected regions
D3.2 Report on generational renewal and on occupational choice, cross-sector mobility and spatial migration
D3.3 Policy brief on farm demographics and impacts on farm structure
D3.4 Open-access paper on the formulation and adaptation of AB models to simulate generational renewal
D3.5 Report on future farm demographics and structural change in selected regions of the EU
D3.6 Policy brief on future developments in farm demographics and structural change in selected regions of the EU
D3.7 Business brief on farming opportunities for entrants and young farmers
D3.8 Open-access paper on the implications of policies and institutional settings for farm demographics and structural change
D3.9 Policy brief on policy options for resilient farm demographics and farm structural
D4.2 Report with the results of the assessment of strengths and weaknesses of the CAP
D4.3 Five case study reports with the results of the assessments in the five regional case study areas
D4.4 Open-access paper with the overall assessment of the extent to which policies enable the resilience of the diverse farming systems
D4.5 Report with structured overview of policy options/governance strategies to improve policies’ resilience enabling capacity
D4.6 Policy brief with a critical analysis of how current policies constrain/enable resilient EU agriculture
D5.2 Report on participatory impact assessments in case study regions
D5.3 Report on resilience assessment of current farming systems across the EU
D5.4 Open-access paper on resilience assessment of current farming systems across the EU
D5.5 Report on impacts of future scenarios on the resilience of EU farming systems
D5.6 Report on impacts of improved strategies and policy options on the resilience of farming systems across the EU
D5.7 Policy brief on the resilience of farming systems in the EU under current conditions and future scenarios
D5.8 Open-access paper on comparative analysis of the resilience of EU farming systems
D6.1 Case-reporting protocol
D6.2 Report on combinations of conditions for successful and unsuccessful fostering of resilience in agricultural sectors
D6.3 Policy brief guiding principles for an enabling environment fostering resilience
D6.4 Implementation roadmaps for the implementation of the enabling environment principles
D6.5 Report on roadmap implementation and protocol for implementation monitoring
D6.6 Press release on roadmaps for enabling environment
Dissemination, Exploitation and Communication
D7.1 Web-page and project portal, social media accounts and cocreation platform
D7.2 Infographics delivered throughout the project
D7.3 Design of the plan for dissemination, exploitation and communication activities.